Scientific hypotheses and the pressure to publish

Tom Scott returns with an excellent discussion on science, the null hypothesis, and the politics of science.

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That’s right, until it’s wrong

Here’s a fascinating video about the difficulty in measuring the earth, beginning with the idea that the Prime Meridian, famously running through Greenwich, UK, is actually about a hundred meters off. Or it’s not. It all depends on who is measuring, and where.

Warning: This guy covers an amazingly wide range of fascinating topics. If you’re at all the curious type, you’ll get sucked down a rabbit hole within minutes, and you may never get back out. You have been warned.

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Night Witches

A fascinating little piece of history, courtesy of The History Guy:

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Will Smith on fear

Fear is more than the mind-slayer:

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Don’t have a cow, man!

Actually, I probably would have, too. This video made me smile. Life is full of fun little surprises and general human decency.

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Is Kanye West on to something?

Yes, that’s “on TO something”, not “on something”, though there are plenty of people out there right now who aren’t too sure. As for me, I’m kinda rethinking my opinion of Mr. West. Whether or not he practices what he preaches, I think he’s right. It all started with this tweet:

You don’t have to agree with trump but the mob can’t make me not love him. We are both dragon energy. He is my brother. I love everyone. I don’t agree with everything anyone does. That’s what makes us individuals. And we have the right to independent thought.

— KANYE WEST (@kanyewest) April 25, 2018

This is supposed to mean that West is now a Kool-aid-drinking Trump fanatic, of course. At least that’s how the liberal crowd seemed to take it. Especially after after West tweeted earlier in support of Candace Owens, who is a liberal-turned-conservative raising questions about whether the liberals are really helping blacks.

These people are like the people who used to see the sign on the side of our house advertising “Sewing Machine Repair” and swear it said everything from bike repair to refrigerator repair. They see “the mob can’t make me not live him” and completely ignore everything else in the entire post, including the parts where West says he “love[s] everyone” and that he doesn’t agree with everything he does.

But no, they read what they wanted to see, and immediately went berserk, even pressuring West’s wife, Kim Kardashian, to get him to recant. She had this to say:

I think she might be right. It may take years for the mindset to shift, and when it does I doubt many people will remember that West was one of the first, most influential to move that direction. Time will tell, perhaps.

Others went to the source. A friend (presumably John Legend) texted West, trying to get him to change his mind. West posted the conversation on social media:

Hey it’s JL. I hope you’ll reconsider aligning yourself with Trump. You’re way too powerful and influential to endorse who he is and what he stands for. As you know, what you say really means something to your fans. They are loyal to you and respect your opinion. So many people who love you feel so betrayed right now because they know the harm that Trump’s policies cause, especially to people of color. Don’t let this be part of your legacy. You’re the greatest artist of our generation

(And this may be one of the most well-written, well-punctuated, grammatically sound texts I’ve ever seen. I don’t even text this well!)

West doesn’t back down, and in fact doubles down on the idea that he loves everyone:

I love you John and I appreciate your thoughts. You bringing up my fans or my legacy is a tactic based on fear used to manipulate my free thought.

That’s some clear analysis, calmly expressed. I don’t know much about Kanye West beyond his grandstanding at the Grammy Awards. This depth of thought and clarity of writing is not something I would have expected. Nor is the level of respect between these two. Legend replies:

Think freely. Think with empathy and context too. Your words and actions have consequences. Much love.

And since you’re posting texts, let me add that I have a new single out haha

That’s awesome! His friend just made their private texts public, and rather than be upset he runs with it! Incidentally, their wives get in on the good-natured banter, too:

@KimKardashian are we still doing dinner Friday or no lol

— christine teigen (@chrissyteigen) April 26, 2018

Yes but maybe no phones 🤣📵📵📵📵😂 https://t.co/zIEZS28DXC

— Kim Kardashian West (@KimKardashian) April 26, 2018

But I digress. I just liked seeing adult conversations in the media. It seems too rare these days.

Everyone does seem to me to be overreacting here. West is standing up for freedom of thought, freedom of speech, and for loving one another. He summarized this week of social media firestorm in these terms:

This is year one. We can’t ad empathy to MAGA by hating. We can only ad empathy with love and time and truly hearing all sides

— KANYE WEST (@kanyewest) April 26, 2018

Regarding claims he’s turning conservative, he said this:

I haven’t done enough research on conservatives to call myself or be called one. I’m just refusing to be enslaved by monolithic thought.

— KANYE WEST (@kanyewest) April 27, 2018

He’s spot on. You’re not going to truly change anyone, let alone Trump, by hating. Most people are truly changed by those who seek to understand before criticizing. I’m pretty sure John Legend had more influence than all the celebrities who unsubscribed from West’s feed, or the frothing hoards who attacked him. In the exchanges I’ve seen in all of this he comes across as thoughtful and respectful, which is one of the most sure ways to get my attention. He’s certainly caused me to reconsider my earlier assessments of him.

It will be interesting to see where this all leads, if anywhere. I hope his stand has some impact. I’m hoping his real message doesn’t get lost in the hate. He’s not endorsing Trump. He’s just refusing to hate. He’s trying to be open minded and recognize that not everyone is completely bad or completely good, and that most people have good, solid reasons for what they believe. Is that such a bad message? Had he said the same about Hillary Clinton I’m sure he’d be the media darling.

Good for him for being willing to risk being unpopular.

 

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Learning from the past

“1984” is a book nearly everyone knows, but far, far fewer have actually read. It’s become such a part of our culture that many aspects have been pulled into our vocabulary, often without people knowing the source.

I know many of you have read it in high school or college, but somehow I managed to escape. Unfortunately (or fortunately–time will tell) Audible is getting better at making me offers I can’t refuse. The latest was “Two classics for one credit”. I decided to see what “classics” they were offering (I’ve found we don’t always agree on what constitutes a classic), and found “1984” on their list. I also found lots of other books I thought might be interesting, but quickly learned the sale was limited to two books.

So I picked up “1984” and “The Scarlet Pimpernel”, the former because I should probably, finally know what I’m talking about, and the latter because I’ve got a novel idea brewing that I’ve described to myself as a Scarlet Pimpernel Space Opera and I might benefit from refreshing my memory on my inspiration.

So I’ll open this up to y’all to weigh in here, too: What books do you often quote or reference without actually having read? We can go with movies, too, if that helps (for example, I often quote “Better Off Dead” based solely on quotes made by friends of mine through the years). Comment below!

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It’s not okay (unless it is)

I learn many lessons from social media. One of the most frequent is that it’s not okay to mock people’s beliefs–or people for their beliefs.

Unless, of course, it is.

It seems we all know better up until we come across someone whose beliefs are just so far out of line with our own we can’t respect them for holding those beliefs–even if those beliefs don’t really do anyone any harm. It’s stupid, therefore it’s okay to mock.

Take, for example, the Flat Earthers. They’ve been around for a long time. I remember hearing about them over thirty years ago in my ninth-grade earth sciences class. Our teacher made their case for us one class period, as was his habit. Every week or two he’d take some time to explore some of the more unusual theories and events in a quest to get us to think. Perhaps even more interesting/entertaining was the Hollow Earth Theory, but I found it all interesting, stored it away, and moved on my life.

Here we are thirty years later, and I’m hearing about the Flat Earthers again. As best I can tell, the only catalyst for this resurgence is a man building his own rocket in an attempt to prove the world is flat. He’s already accomplished the first stage of his effort and is now working on the next stage that will put him close to his goal.

And every few days I see something pop up in social media mocking Flat Earthers. Everyone has a good laugh at their expense, and it goes away again until someone thinks of another good jab. Harmless fun, right?

I’m not so sure. Behind it all seems to be a sense of offense. People seem offended that these people can hold on to such ridiculous beliefs in the face of incontrovertible evidence. Never mind that we regularly see that people on all sides of the socio-political spectrum doing just that, but over issues that are more mainstream. The epithet “science denier” applies in all sorts of directions, depending on the topic.

But so long as it’s someone the vast majority can all agree are blatantly foolish it seems to be okay to mock them.

It may be legal. It may be tempting. But is it fair? Is it who we claim we want to be? Though the term “bully” is thrown around far too much these days, this seems a clear case: the majority uses their position of power to denigrate those who can’t really fight back. It’s not like these people pose any threat. They’re not, as best I can tell, doing anything that would harm anyone (except themselves, perhaps, in the case of the rocket guy). So why do we need to mock them?

I’m not sure we do. It really says more about us than it does about them. We can be quite petty. I suspect that’s more harmful than believing the earth is flat.

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Kintsugi

Here’s an interesting video explaining the concept of kintsugi, in which broken ceramics are transformed, not just repaired. There’s symbolism here, I think.

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Written in my DNA

This week has been a walk down memory lane around our house. Our youngest started singing “Mamma Mia” by ABBA because he’d heard snatches of it during a commercial for a local production of “Mamma Mia – The Musical”. My wife took it upon herself to educate him that the song was around a LOT longer than the musical. We’ve been through this with him before; an add during the Olympics parodied “The Banana Boat Song”, and we had to show him it really has nothing to do with financial planning (or the lack thereof).

That, of course, inspired me to go poking around for other ABBA songs I haven’t listened to in several decades, which of course led me into songs from the 1980’s. After getting emotional over old Toto songs I began to wonder: are these songs great on their own, or does anyone today even hear these songs the same way I do?

I have a friend of mine who is convinced that music from the 1980’s was generally crap, but then he grew up during the 1970’s. I began to be aware of music in the 1970’s, and I do have fond memories of many of those songs (hence ABBA), but for the most part it lacks the impact of music from my teen years.

Which led me to the next question: Is there something about the combination of newly-surging hormones, first discoveries of the opposite sex, and the tentative first steps exploring who you are that combines to powerfully write these songs into our DNA? Does the emotion in the songs, amplified by our own teen-amplified emotions burn these songs deep into our psyches?

I’ll be the first to admit that my love of this music is somewhat irrational. I don’t regularly listen to it now–I’ve discovered new groups, new genres, new emotions over the years, and my tastes continue to evolve. But I’m not sure I feel the same thrill of recognition over these songs. It’s almost as if the older I get the less power impact my new discoveries have.

My kids are starting to introduce me to their music, and I’m finding some that I like. But I can see it’s not grabbing me the way it grabs them. And while it somewhat worries me that the music they may be “imprinting on” is of such inferior quality, I have to remind myself that my parents weren’t too fond of what I listened to at that age, either.

Which brings me back to my original thesis. There’s something about the music of your teenage and early adulthood years that seems to stick better than any other period, no matter how much more sophisticated your tastes may grow over time. Nostalgia is potent stuff. Hormone-infused teen nostalgia may approach WMD levels.

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